Tag Archive for: Real Estate Trends

Holding On To Summer

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Black-eyed Susans are in full bloom, raging across gardens and hillsides in Northeastern Pennsylvania. Chatter has begun about picking apples, not blueberries, from an orchard near you. Ritters, anyone? Sure, Dunkin Donuts is now showcasing its Blood Orange Refresher, claiming it’s their seasonal drink. Schools are reopening for the new academic year. Football has begun again! Did you catch yesterday’s Backyard Brawl thriller? The unofficial end to summer happens this Labor Day weekend. And yes, this morning was a little chilly, I must say, but I’m holding onto summer this year!

We lack the four seasons in our region, we really do. Spring, in recent years, is a mixture of winter slop and daffodils and crocuses refusing to make up their minds whether it’s time to sprout or not. Autumn seems hidden behind the winter breeze that kidnaps the summer heat. When summer finally gets into motion, department stores are cramming Halloween decor and Christmas lights into our shopping carts. Don’t get me wrong, fall is my favorite, absolute favorite season of the year. [I even purchased a case of Founders’ Oktoberfest a few days ago – shhhh!] I’m just not willing to surrender to autumn this year. I don’t care how many times you shout pumpkin spice!

Summer hasn’t made an exit yet. In fact, I had sand between my toes only days ago and a sunburn on my right arm.

Real estate may likewise side with my position. It appears, like me, it could be summer dreaming. Some of its optics exude traditional summer responses. More properties have gone under contract in August of this year as opposed to August of 2021 and the housing supply remains dismal, 1.65 months supply, last time I checked. Keep in mind, a balanced market with normal inventory levels produces a month’s supply between five and seven. Nevertheless, as much as I hate to admit it, our market’s leaves are changing color. Sold listings through last month, year-to-date, are down 6.4%. New listings, likewise, are down month-over-month, when compared to last August, by over 23%. Perhaps this market has had enough of the surge it experienced over the previous twenty-six months (give or take).

Could it be that homebuyers, much like blueberry-pickers of July and August, have had their fill? They’ve looked at the entire inventory (which hasn’t been much), they’re fatigued by record-setting inflation and mortgage rates that don’t look as appealing as they did this past January. Although there’s certainly an element of truth to these pressures, the strain has been on buyers for some time now, our market remains rather healthy. When will inventory increase and the market become more balanced? That’s really anyone’s guess at this point – industry experts have yet to nail that down. In spite of that, year-to-date, there’s been a 19.9% increase in homes sold this year opposed to only five years ago in 2017.

We’re looking forward to a change in season in real estate, after all buyers need reprieve too! But summer wants to stick around this year (it told me so). We hope you can enjoy the few remaining weeks of the season.

* statistics from the Greater Scranton Board of REALTORS® (August 2017 – August 2022)

 

Whatever season you find yourself in, make sure to use our “search by city” feature and discover all our area has to offer.

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When Buyers Get More Realistic

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When Buyers Get More Realistic: Shifting Trends in the Housing Market22

The housing market is seeing a shift, signaling opportunities for buyers. While inventory remains tight, changes in buyer behavior and market trends are creating a more balanced landscape. Here’s how buyers are navigating this evolving market.

Current Market Conditions

Low Inventory Levels

In July 2019, there were 1,387 active listings. By July 2023, this number dropped to 553, reflecting a 60% decrease in inventory.

National Trends

On a national scale, housing inventory has increased by over 30% year-over-year, marking the largest jump since 2017.

Interest Rates

Mortgage rates have fluctuated, climbing from around 3% at the beginning of the year to approximately 5.5%–5.6%. These rates are influencing buyer and seller behavior alike.

How Buyers Are Getting More Realistic

Adopting Contingencies

Buyers are increasingly relying on contingencies, such as home inspections, to protect their investments. These clauses allow for careful evaluation of properties, reducing risks during the escrow period.

Slower Pace of Transactions

With fewer bidding wars and reduced competition, buyers have more time to evaluate properties and negotiate terms.

Leveraging Escrow Protections

Escrow plays a critical role in ensuring fair transactions. In Pennsylvania, earnest money is held in compliance with the Real Estate Licensing & Registration Act (RELRA), safeguarding buyer and seller interests.

The Role of Contingencies

Why They Matter

Contingencies protect buyers from unforeseen issues, allowing for deposits to be refunded if specific conditions aren’t met.

Impact on Sellers

While contingencies may seem to favor buyers, they ensure a fair process for both parties, reducing potential disputes.

Conclusion

When buyers get more realistic, they make smarter decisions that align with evolving market dynamics. By using contingencies, understanding escrow procedures, and leveraging current trends, buyers can approach the homebuying process with confidence.

Contact Realty Network Group for expert guidance in navigating today’s real estate market!

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Considering Selling? What Can Today’s Seller Expect?

Considering Selling? What Can Today’s Seller Expect?

As we enter the spring housing market, today’s seller finds themselves in a uniquely advantageous, yet complex, position. The past year was stellar for homebuying and selling, though many first-time buyers, often relying on FHA loans or smaller down payments, found themselves outbid by investors or more competitive buyers. Today’s market, marked by continued low inventory, has kept prices high and demand strong, although sellers still face questions about timing, pricing, and post-sale decisions.

Understanding the Seller’s Market in 2022

While it’s a clear seller’s market, potential sellers face concerns, particularly if they’ll need to purchase a new home after selling. Christina M. Keller, REALTOR® at Realty Network Group, notes that in northeastern Pennsylvania, sellers are generally in a favorable position, though some feel pressured to prepare their homes quickly and effectively. This rush, combined with the need for a new home post-sale, adds a layer of complexity and even hesitation for many.

New Trends in Home Sales

Aware of high demand, many of today’s sellers are opting to save on pre-sale upgrades. Where homeowners might have repainted, updated kitchens, or replaced floors in previous years, today’s sellers are finding that buyers are willing to take on these cosmetic changes themselves post-purchase. Keller observes, “Sellers are counting their savings, knowing buyers are willing to tackle projects post-settlement.” This trend aligns with the broader competitive landscape, where buyers are often just grateful to secure a property, even if it needs some work.

Buyers Ready to Compromise

Given the high level of competition, many buyers are forgoing requests for minor repairs or updates, choosing instead to purchase “as is.” This willingness to accept properties with minor issues can often be the deciding factor in competitive bidding, sometimes even outpacing higher offers. While this benefits sellers by expediting the sale and reducing pre-sale costs, it means buyers are finding fewer opportunities to negotiate on price.

Timing is Everything: Why April Might Be Ideal for Today’s Seller

For sellers looking for an optimal listing time, April might hold the key. Realtor.com pinpoints April 10-16 as an ideal week, citing a combination of high buyer interest and limited competition that often leads to quicker sales at higher prices. Similarly, Zillow’s data from 2021 suggests that late April (21-28) can provide the best conditions for a successful sale. Timing the market could help today’s sellers maximize their returns, especially in an environment where housing demand remains strong but inventory is slow to rebound.

April’s “Sweet Spot” for Today’s Seller

In sum, today’s seller is uniquely positioned to make the most of the spring market. With robust demand, limited competition, and a favorable timing window, listing in April could yield top dollar. For those contemplating a sale, acting in the next few weeks could capture high buyer interest and maximize profit, creating an ideal exit point in 2022’s dynamic housing market.

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Post Pandemic: What Does Real Estate Look Like?

There’s more uncertainty in the national real estate market than we’ve seen in some time. We’re two years beyond the onset of COVID and while we’re past many of the main health concerns of the virus, obstacles still remain. Remote work is likely here to stay, thus there are adjustments to housing post pandemic, which continue to unfold and impact the market. Is time running out for sellers to take advantage? Will buyers have a better chance of acquiring real estate being that their purchasing power has somewhat diminished? What’s in store for our market in the Greater Scranton area?

The future of real estate isn’t as dark as some would have you believe. The chance of a housing crash, the likes of 2007-2010, lacks much supporting evidence. In fact, the exact opposite might be true. Many experts are calling for a busy spring market this year and even Zillow projects home appreciation to hover around 9% for 2022. Many of the conditions, which existed prior to the housing bubble, simply aren’t present. When the market began to tank fifteen years ago, there was a surplus in housing inventory, mortgage lending resembled the Wild West and foreclosures occupied their fair share of the market.

Today, the narrative is quite different. There are shortages in markets throughout the country. Here in Northeastern Pennsylvania, our month’s supply of homes continues to unimpress buyers: year-to-date we sit at 1.29.* A magnifying glass would be required if the inventory got any smaller. In the four years, which consisted of the housing bubble, the market was heavily in favor of buyers and saw surpluses of housing between 7.3 and 9.6 month’s supply, according to the National Association of REALTORS®. Furthermore, lending restrictions are much tighter than those that existed fifteen years ago. In 2010, the Dodd-Frank Wall Street Reform and Consumer Protection Act became law with its eye toward consumer protection and a reform of the lending industry, especially riddance of predatory lenders. In general, those who are approved for a mortgage in 2022 are much more qualified than those approved even a dozen years ago. Finally, negative equity in the national housing industry has reached its lowest level over this same period of time. Much fewer homeowners are underwater than were during the housing bubble.

The future of housing post pandemic is not scary. Actually, 2023 will probably resemble 2019 more than it will last year. Inventory will bounce back, but that might take a year or two. The immediate future for sellers does pose a threat to them receiving top dollar for their investment. “There’s a little insanity in our market right now,” maintains Amy L. Kiesinger Bohenek, an Associate Broker with Realty Network Group. “Listing agents are faced with multiple showings and offers, sometimes over asking price. The appraisal process can be cause for a headache from time-to-time too. When a home doesn’t appraise, where does that leave both parties, especially the seller?” Despite this, the window for bidding wars and high price appreciation is closing. Despite climbing mortgage rates, demand for housing remains strong. Price appreciation will continue to trend up, albeit home prices shouldn’t be in the neighborhood of 18%, like much of last year. Sellers in our region should act sooner than later if they want to take advantage of this market they find themselves firmly entrenched.

Buyers must hang in there if they have a desire to pursue real estate anytime soon. The question remains, how can you sit tight when your purchasing power appears to be vanishing? Homebuyers have seen the average thirty-year fixed mortgage rate increase to roughly 5.3%, which is about 2% higher than it was at the beginning of the year. Many first-time buyers are already struggling to get their foot in the door and compete with others, including investors. Higher rates, for those who require a mortgage, generally mean they’ll have less to contribute toward a monthly payment. That’s why it’s important for buyers to have a plan, stick to a budget and know what they can afford.

In addition to the factors listed above, real estate in Northeastern Pennsylvania continues to have affordability as its ally. Year-to-date, the median home sales price is $179,000 (up 7.7% from the previous year).* New listings are down slightly, but inventory is expected to pick up. The groundwork for homes to appreciate at a slightly slower pace with small improvements in inventory is being laid. With an increase in buyer and seller competition that’s sure to come this spring and summer, being too conservative, will surely impact homeowners thinking about selling.

 

* Greater Scranton Board of REALTORS®

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Best Month To Sell Your Home

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on, takHomeowners are incentivized to sell, if they’re in a position to do so, as we set sights on the spring housing market. It’s no surprise that last year was a stellar year for homebuying and selling. Unfortunately, many were left on the sidelines, especially first-time buyers who only had FHA loan approval or were relying on a more limited down-payment as they pursued homeownership. Often investors beat first-timers to the punch, swooping in and snatching up available homes for sale. The challenges still exist. You need only ask those who are still looking to buy.

Challenges for First-Time Homebuyers in a Competitive Market

Persistent low supplies, even locally, have driven up home prices. Fueling the fire was 2021 with its record-breaking growth in the housing sector. Appreciation in home prices was high at the start of the year and accelerated even higher by year’s end. “Price appreciation averaged 15% for the full year of 2021,” which was more than double the prior year.

How Low Inventory and Rising Prices Impact Home Sales

Sellers who can afford to sell, and we use that term “afford” loosely, should do so. If you’re a homeowner thinking about selling, is there a better time of the year to put your property on the market? Is there an optimal time to sell? Is there a month or a very specific time of the year where a seller would be in a better position than if he/she waited? These are great questions. To shed some light on this discussion it’s important to review new and sold listings in our market.

New and Sold Listings: A Look at Recent Years’ Data

New Listings in the Greater Scranton Board of REALTORS®
2021 2019 2018
February 172 244 228
March 267 324 320
April 330 400 364
May 387 432 448
June 374 381 434
July 368 360 387
August 397 331 353
September 329 329 313

*GSBR statistics 2018-2021

 

Sold Listings in the Greater Scranton Board of REALTORS®
2021 2019 2018
February 157 159 138
March 243 180 187
April 248 203 168
May 262 250 258
June 312 240 214
July 294 270 240
August 313 265 285
September 298 228 225

*GSBR statistics 2018-2021

March: The Ideal Month to List Your Home?

The COVID-filled year of 2020 was a tale of two markets, an extremely silent one as well as a vigorous one beginning in June of that year, and therefore, we skipped it for obvious reasons. But the patterns of three of the last four years show a trend. New listings entering the market peaked in May/June and sales hit their highs in July/August. And this correlation between sales and listings is logical with an estimated forty-five to sixty days to close for properties in our market.

It might be advantageous for prospective sellers to circle the month of March on their calendars. Next month you say? Yes, March is the perfect time to list! ATTOM data would also suggest March or perhaps even April is the best time to put your home on the market. May and June experience the highest returns for those looking to make a profit in selling their property. But don’t sweat it, if you’re not ready to go in March or April, you might be able to catch some of that buyer activity during the summer months.

We would caution anyone looking to sell though as home price appreciation may begin to taper as this year comes to a close. The median home price was almost 12% higher than it was a year ago and that should continue short-term, according to realtor.com’s chief economist. But many forecasters believe a plunge in home prices is coming by year’s end. Sellers who are on the fence, should act soon. In fact, next month might just be the perfect month!

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Is Thanksgiving The Best Time To Buy & Sell?

What if we told you we were coming up on the sweet spot for buying and selling in real estate? Would you believe us? Real estate has a long tradition of being a seasonal market, especially in Northeastern Pennsylvania where we undergo four seasons. Alright, perhaps we only have three – late summer, long winter and rainy spring! Nevertheless, if and when spring sets in, motivated sellers have their sights set on unloading their home for top dollar. Over the past few years, there’s been a slight shift in the data in how consumers have responded. And of course, COVID-19 has severely affected traditional real estate trends in our Greater Scranton market.

The trends over the past nine months show some of those glaring differences:

Month Sold Listings Year-Over-Year % Active Listings Year-Over-Year %
October 388 68.7 665 -51.5
September 335 46.9 667 -50.8
August 361 36.2 692 -50.9
July 350 29.6 811 -41.5
June 141 -41.2 856 -36.3
May 107 -57.2 888 -30.6
April 156 -23.2 968 -19.0
March 167 -7.2 1046 -8.5
February 156 -1.9 1026 -11.6
January 173 16.1 1079 -8.9

* Greater Scranton Board of REALTORS® statistics

The sold listings from this past May, June, September and October clearly point to disruptions the pandemic has imposed on real estate in Northeastern Pennsylvania all while housing inventory continues to fall. Regardless, if we’re trending back to some sense of normalcy in real estate, Thanksgiving time might be the sweet spot for buying or selling real estate.

If you’re seriously considering purchasing a home, November and December certainly can make their case as to why you should make a move into their corner. Generally, autumn has been an excellent time to buy a property. In fact, according to real estate information company Attom Data Solutions, some of the best days to buy are November 9, December 4, 7, 26 and 29. Boxing Day, December 26, a monster shopping day on the calendar, is actually the single best day to purchase a home!

As we approach the heart of winter, buyers notice some of the lowest prices of the year. In fact, low mortgage rates continue to provide many with the opportunity to purchase, while having more buying power. Though experts believe the rates will stay low for the start of 2021, a change in leadership, bond prices and the state of the economy could certainly change that.

Believe it or not, November and December likewise present a good situation for some who are looking at selling. At the end of the year, buyers typically have less choice and homeowners seeking to sell may take advantage of these circumstances. The fact of the matter is this: There’s generally less competition for sellers, whereas there’s more motivation and perhaps the lure of year-end tax benefits for buyers. If buyers are seriously considering homeownership, this creates ideal conditions for sellers, who are typically competing with lower inventory by year’s end. Today, in the Greater Scranton area, our housing inventory is incredibly low! Furthermore in recent years, more homebuyers are less fixated on “summer buying” as well as school schedules (some don’t even have children) and if they have time constraints, their motivation can play right into the hands of sellers.

“Traditionally November has always been a really terrific month for sales because you’ve got people who have been out there looking saying, look, another year is about to pass. Let’s focus”

Depending on your specific situation right now, this time of the year might be the sweet spot for buyers and sellers alike. Yes, you’ll find highly motivated sellers in the market, but there won’t be a shortage of motivated buyers either. Given the right mix, it might be perfect timing to buy and sell!

 

If you’re a buyer or seller and have more questions, see our (buyer/seller) FAQs or contact us today.

 

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Are Millennials Missing Out On Homeownership?

Over a decade ago, the Great Recession’s impact lingered, and mortgage lenders tightened requirements, responding to a wave of foreclosures. Housing prices fell, yet millennials—aged 13 to 28 at the time—were largely absent from the market. Many were still in school and burdened by rising college debt. However, in the past decade, both home prices and millennial home ownership have steadily increased. What effect has this had on real estate?

In his recent article, Shawn Tully from Fortune discusses how the millennial generation, despite facing economic hurdles, has managed to shift the housing landscape. Although housing was more affordable compared to the previous decade, millennials were hindered by financial instability and, until 2017, were often dubbed the “lost generation” of homeownership. Tully notes, “Millennials had loads of college debt, and many had bad credit,” resulting in limited market participation until just a few years ago. However, by 2021, millennials made a substantial impact, accounting for almost half of all new home purchases. Despite this shift, under-construction rates, high prices, and rising interest rates now appear to be favoring more affluent buyers, such as Gen Xers and Baby Boomers, potentially leading to a decrease in millennial homeownership rates.

This trend raises concerns for housing markets across the U.S., particularly in high-cost states like California, New York, and Florida, where rising property prices continue to shut out first-time buyers, especially millennials. Fortunately, not all millennials are facing these challenges. In Northeastern Pennsylvania, this “lost generation” is establishing itself within the first-time homebuyer market, leveraging more affordable conditions and creating ripples in local real estate.

In Greater Scranton, where absorption rates—the measure of how fast homes sell in a market—stand at 6.34 year-to-date and 5.82 year-over-year, the area is slipping into a seller’s market. Rates of 6 to 9 months indicate balance, while 3 to 6 months reflect a seller’s market, suggesting that millennials’ increased purchasing activity has been a key driver in the area’s real estate shift. Now, millennials are securing homes, establishing roots, and boosting local growth.

As the largest generational group in the U.S., millennials are paving the way toward homeownership, with their stability and family formation aiding in their market participation, especially in areas like Northeastern PA. This trend may bring long-term economic growth to regions they are helping shape, proving that the “lost generation” may be found—one home at a time.

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